Democrats have an out — a legislative process called
reconciliation, which allows a bill to pass the Senate with a simple majority but limits what measures can be included.
Biden is also using his executive authority to provide more assistance to Americans in need. On Friday, he signed an
executive order directing the US Department of Agriculture to consider boosting food stamp benefits for certain low-income people and Pandemic-EBT payments to families whose children are missing free- and reduced-price meals because their schools are closed.
The President can do this because it’s a regulatory change for a mandatory appropriation, said Brian Deese, director of the National Economic Council.
Shift in political views
Though some Republicans have already expressed concern about spending more federal funds, overall the political landscape has changed greatly, said Douglas Holtz-Eakin, president of the center-right-leaning American Action Forum and chief economic policy adviser for late Republican Sen. John McCain’s 2008 presidential campaign.
“This is an environment where there is very little regard for the consequences of higher federal debt, if any, on both sides,” Holtz-Eakin said. “The parties have changed. You don’t really have core constituency of fiscally conservative centrist Democrats or fiscally conservative Republicans.”
New members of Congress are not steeped in the importance of having things add up, so they don’t push for legislation to do so, Holtz-Eakin said.
The
Tea Party, which battled former President Barack Obama over deficit spending, has essentially disappeared.
Republican lawmakers were not particularly mindful of the deficit under former President Donald Trump. In their first year in control of Congress and the White House, GOP lawmakers passed the
2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that added nearly $2 trillion to the deficit over a decade, mainly through tax cuts for high-income households and corporations, according to the non-partisan Tax Policy Center.
Trump, who referred to himself as the King of Debt, saw the national debt soar by more than
$7 trillion during his four years in office.
In the most recent quarter, the federal budget deficit was $572 billion, up more than 60% from the same period a year earlier, largely because of federal pandemic relief programs.
Meanwhile, progressive Democrats, who advocate for large government programs such as
“Medicare for All” and the
Green New Deal, have pushed the party to the left.
“There’s just a sense that they want to do bigger things,” said Jason Furman, an economic policy professor at Harvard, of the progressives. Furman, who was a deputy director of the National Economic Council in the Obama administration, helped craft the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.
New economic ideas
Economists have also shifted their views on spending big during times of financial stress — and the
pandemic-fueled economic and
employment collapse in the spring was unprecedented.
Deficit spending is more acceptable now.
“There seems to be more openness to borrowing, especially during downturns,” said Marc Goldwein, senior policy director for the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, which advocates for fiscal responsibility but believes that deficit spending is important during the pandemic to deal with the virus and stabilize the economy.
Low interest rates make it more palatable to borrow. The rate on the 10-year Treasury bond is hovering around 1.1% versus 2.4% in January 2009.
The nation’s top policy makers have also given their blessing to continue to spend, saying the economy is still too shaky to pull back on assistance.
Speaking to the National Association of Business Economists in October,
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said now is not the time to prioritize the federal budget.
“Too little support would lead to a weak recovery, creating unnecessary hardship for households and businesses,” Powell said. “By contrast, the risks of overdoing it seem, for now, to be smaller. Even if policy actions ultimately prove to be greater than needed, they will not go to waste.”
Janet Yellen, Biden’s pick for Treasury secretary, also stressed the importance of providing more assistance at her
Senate confirmation hearing on Tuesday.
“Neither the President-elect, nor I, propose this relief package without an appreciation for the country’s debt burden,” she said. “But right now, with interest rates at historic lows, the smartest thing we can do is act big. In the long run, I believe the benefits will far outweigh the costs, especially if we care about helping people who have been struggling for a very long time.”